Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001413 0.001465 0.001519 0.001577 0.001641 0.001707 0.001781
2025-08-03 0.001313 0.001387 0.001466 0.001556 0.001657 0.001767 0.001897
2025-08-10 0.001257 0.001348 0.001447 0.001564 0.001700 0.001854 0.002045
2025-08-17 0.001203 0.001304 0.001417 0.001554 0.001718 0.001910 0.002158
2025-08-24 0.001154 0.001263 0.001386 0.001539 0.001725 0.001951 0.002253
2025-08-31 0.001136 0.001254 0.001391 0.001564 0.001782 0.002054 0.002433
2025-09-07 0.001110 0.001235 0.001381 0.001569 0.001812 0.002123 0.002574
2025-09-14 0.001077 0.001205 0.001357 0.001555 0.001814 0.002156 0.002664
2025-09-21 0.001044 0.001174 0.001329 0.001535 0.001808 0.002174 0.002735
2025-09-28 0.001018 0.001150 0.001309 0.001522 0.001810 0.002203 0.002822
2025-10-05 0.000977 0.001106 0.001263 0.001473 0.001759 0.002154 0.002786
2025-10-12 0.000957 0.001087 0.001246 0.001463 0.001761 0.002180 0.002868
2025-10-19 0.000944 0.001077 0.001242 0.001469 0.001788 0.002245 0.003023
2025-10-26 0.000924 0.001059 0.001227 0.001459 0.001790 0.002274 0.003122
2025-11-02 0.000914 0.001052 0.001226 0.001470 0.001822 0.002351 0.003313
2025-11-09 0.000898 0.001037 0.001213 0.001463 0.001828 0.002386 0.003431
2025-11-16 0.000880 0.001019 0.001197 0.001450 0.001824 0.002404 0.003521
2025-11-23 0.000877 0.001021 0.001206 0.001473 0.001875 0.002518 0.003815
2025-11-30 0.000868 0.001014 0.001202 0.001478 0.001899 0.002586 0.004028
2025-12-07 0.000853 0.000998 0.001187 0.001465 0.001893 0.002603 0.004133
2025-12-14 0.000836 0.000980 0.001168 0.001446 0.001879 0.002603 0.004200
2025-12-21 0.000823 0.000966 0.001155 0.001435 0.001875 0.002622 0.004311
2025-12-28 0.000798 0.000937 0.001120 0.001391 0.001816 0.002536 0.004161